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Betfair ist ein britisches Unternehmen mit Sitz in London. Es ist Betreiber der weltweit größten Website der Wettbörse · Interview mit dem Betfair-Gründer · FAZ-Interview mit dem Deutschlandchef von Betfair · Der deutsche Betfair-Blog. Betfair hat mit dem Börsenprinzip das Wetten revolutioniert. Hier wird in kurzweiligen Videos das Wetten rund um Betfair erklärt, mit Quelle: Betfair-Blog​. Betfair's Betting Exchange lets you bet against other people and get Auf dem offiziellen Blog der Wettbörse Betfair finden Sie aktuelle News.

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So that's the concept sorted. What about the practicalities? How do we go about implementing this trading strategy?

Well let's take a basic look at each part of the tip - cutting losses and letting wins run. Cutting losses This really is as straightforward as planning.

When we open a position we should know where we are going to close it if the market moves against us.

The point at which to set that bail out price is a whole different subject but how we arrive at it doesn't matter for now. The important thing is there should be a bail out point.

This means we should never lose more than a set amount on a trade. Which helps protect our bankroll and leaves us plenty of money to get involved again.

Essentially it stops us just staring blankly at a screen as the market price simply runs away from us leaving us facing growing losses.

It keeps us in the game. And in control. While at the same time preventing that awful feeling we've all no doubt had where the price is running against us and we're just hoping "something happens" to turn it around so we can get out for a smaller loss or even break even.

As the Jesse Livermore example shows though, and as some of my recent results show, knowing all this and putting it in practice are two totally different things.

Having the discipline to actually implement the stop loss can be the hardest thing to do. Letting wins run This is the nice part!

But also has its difficulties. As the temptation to take a profit, any profit, can be large. Long term though we will make far more if we let our profits run.

Imagine how much just 5 extra ticks in each completed trade open and closed would make to your own trading over 50 trades. Or Or 5, While letting our wins run we are, of course, also trying to protect the profit we've already made.

Give as little of it back as possible as it were. One way of doing this is to implement a trailing stop loss. For example, say we've backed something at 1.

We might say to ourselves if the price hits 1. If the price continues to drop however, say to 1. And so on. There's really so much more that can be said and discussed on this subject of cutting losses and letting profits run but in a nutshell that's it.

Naturally we should weigh up all the circumstances involving each market we enter when considering exactly how to implement everything.

I certainly alter my strategies depending on market conditions. For example, in the recent Twenty20 World cup I was still happy to let wins run but was far more willing to take a quick profit when it was available than I am in, say and ODI or test match.

This was simply because of the increased volatility. Of course I was still cutting losses as usual. I guess the point is this. The trading strategy is a winner.

But as with all strategies we need to consider how best to implement them in the markets we are getting involved with. This article, reproduced as part of a classic posts series, was first published in November The advice is as good today as it was then!

And the Lefevre book is still well worth a read for anyone who hasn't got round to it. I'm not a fan of the free money threads on the Betfair forums as regular readers will know.

But sometimes the betting exchange really does offer you free money and in this entry I'm going to outline how you can take advantage of it as a trading tip.

To be honest it's not the best trading tip to offer up. Bit of a cheat in fact. But as it happened twice the other day and I have screenshots of both examples I thought I'd blog about it while it is still fresh and relevant.

Sharp-eyed readers may have noticed that in the last week or so I have added a categories section to the right hand side bar. To keep up to date with all the tips I'll be publishing just click on the Trading Tips section there.

At some point I'll also run through all my old blog entries and add any old entries that are relevant.

Help Yourself to Free Money Ok. I've already said it's not the best tip. In fact it's snidey. Not as much as a trap bet.

But all's fair in love and war. And besides, if someone is really so desperate to give their money away who says I can't take my share of it?

I have in the past and I will continue to do so. The tip is simple. And it is this Leave lays below the true market price.

I hear you asking after you've read that far for that piece of toss? Well bare with me. And take a look at this graph Like the massive plunge in the draw price from the mid 2.

What caused this? Well, it's simple. Someone or something a rebellious bot?! A bet was submitted to back the draw at a price at least as low as 1.

For all we know it might have even been 1. Now see the advantage of leaving a lay below the true market price? I've said it's snidey. But if people make mistakes I'm no saint.

I'm going to take advantage. It's not as if people don't benefit from my stupid mistakes. Call me fickle but I distinguish between this and a deliberate trap bet.

In a trap bet the price might be 1. Here there is no attempt to deceive. We're simply leaving a lay up and waiting for someone to make a mistake.

And if they do we profit from it. They feel stupid. And learn from the mistake. OK, I hear you say. But look at the sums involved. Peanuts were matched at the wrong prices.

Well it is peanuts to some. But a profit is a profit. And much larger sums are matched during these mistakes too as this graph shows Ok, this screenshot was taken immediately after the mistake so the price movements appear more spread out than if viewed in a longer time frame.

That doesn't really matter though. The Cowboys started at 1. Yet someone has backed the Jets all the way down to 1. And this time it wasn't for peanuts.

It took several thousand pounds to get the price that low. Leaving lays below the true market price suddenly seems a little more worthwhile now doesn't it?!

Alright I hear you ask. But how often do mistakes like this happen? Well, who knows. I guess you could use Betfair historical data to get a pretty good idea.

But i'm happy to just know it works. As for these two examples? Well, they both happened last Thursday. I only looked in on a few markets.

I wasn't looking for examples. They just cropped up while I was going about my normal trading business. Sure, to see two examples in a day in the 3 or 4 markets I looked in on might be a little unusual.

But consider this - there are thousands of markets each day on Betfair. The irony is most people don't even realise these mistakes are being made.

Why not? Because they use the traditional Betfair interface. Their odds refresh every 30 seconds unless they refresh them manually.

The action is all done and dusted before they realise it even happened. Fast refreshing trading software makes it all too clear what is going on though.

To such an extent that even if you haven't left a lay in at below the true market value you can very often pick off these mistake bets before the person who made it realises what they've done and cancels it.

So there you have it. You can do worse than leave a lay at below the true market odds. It ain't pretty or cultured. It's taking full advantage of the mistakes of others.

As you may know already, my favourite market to trade on the Betfair exchange is horse racing. What is a data scout? If you are Betfair trading on a football soccer match or regularly deploy any one of the many football Latest News.

Using Bet Angel. The market overview screen on Bet Angel is a very useful part of the software and should form part of any Betfair trading strategy you are using.

Anybody who has been close to, own, or rides a horse will know they are flighty animals and that extends to their behaviour when they are racing.

I never Featured Using Bet Angel. Bet Angel v1. As the name suggests Featured Horse Racing. The Yorkshire Ebor festival We are at another key point on our journey through the year, as we head just south of the North York moors to York Racecourse Author Dallas Posted on 16th August 16th August.

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Rebuilding our technology stack was a massive effort across multiple teams and departments, ranging from Product, Design and Marketing to Tech, Content, SEO and the list goes on.

Uptime and stability of the Exchange technology stack are of paramount importance to the business and its customers. Even a few minutes downtime could mean a huge loss in revenue and customer impact, as an important horse race runs without any in play bets being placed or a customer misses a crucial trade out opportunity as part of their carefully tuned betting strategy.

Therefore, keeping the Exchange platform running and having an early indication of any problems are always at the forefront of our minds on the Exchange development team.

Some of the web applications we build for our external partners run within our infrastructure but are meant to be used by both, us and them.

Often waiting for maturity is a more cost-effective approach to using something which another entity will do the groundwork on. The danger, however, lies in how pronounced a disruptive effect someone else could have with that technology in the meantime.

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I thought it would be interesting to revisit this I learnt a long time ago that sometimes the best way to think about things is to flip them on their head.

Putting aside As you may know already, my favourite market to trade on the Betfair exchange is horse racing. What is a data scout? If you are Betfair trading on a football soccer match or regularly deploy any one of the many football Latest News.

Using Bet Angel. The market overview screen on Bet Angel is a very useful part of the software and should form part of any Betfair trading strategy you are using.

Anybody who has been close to, own, or rides a horse will know they are flighty animals and that extends to their behaviour when they are racing.

I never Featured Using Bet Angel. The Christmas parties!! To put it simply, sitting home alone was bloody dull in comparison. And I started putting on weight!

Sure, there are answers to all these issues. You could chat with other full timers. Make extra effort to get out and interact. Make sure you excercise vastly underrated when it comes to keeping a fit, clear and disciplined mind when trading , The point though is these are the kind of issues I'd anticipate if I was to go full time.

It makes sense to plan for them in advance. It's all part of being prepared, organized and disciplined. Every new gadget becomes obsolete. The betting industry is no different.

Remember the 90s when spread betting firms were the future of betting?! Exchanges replaced them. But it doesn't mean they will remain as popular for ever.

And as popularity declines, so will liquidity, and with it your profit. Of course, I don't see an immediate decline. Exchanges are just such a fantastic idea.

But would you risk your future on them? Are you really confident that what you do now would be possible in ten years?

When, if you'd stuck at your job, you'd have had several promotions and pay rises? Which decision now looks best in the long run?

Something to consider. Last year millions of Americans played poker online daily. How many do today? Central government can kill an industry overnight if it chooses.

And in the process wipe out your livelihood. Sure, the UK government is making encouraging noises on the betting industry. But policies can change.

It took Labour less than a decade to switch from a policy of unilateral nuclear disarmament to embracing the nuclear deterrent. Now the question is not what to do with Trident but what to replace it with.

Sure, in the UK at least, where the issue of government income from gaming revenue is settled, it's unlikely any turn around would cut off your livelihood.

But when making life changing decision such as becoming a full time gambler such risks have to be considered. There are two other issues that I think about when asked why I haven't gone full time.

In running betting and taxation. I make my money as a trader from in running betting. I have a standard Sky set up and I use some trading software.

Nothing out of the ordinary then. But it doesn't mean I don't worry about the future of in running betting. What if the Gambling Commission, or similar body, decided that because some people's pictures are delayed more than others they will level the field by banning in running betting?

I'd be screwed! Now as unlikley as I think something like this happening is it doesn't mean it won't. And it doesn't mean I don't worry when UK newspapers run junk stories about people getting ripped off because shrewdies are beating the Betfair clock.

As for taxation on winnings - the subject is huge! And I don't intend to go through it all here. I've seen the Inland Revenue website, I have my accountant's advice and I follow it.

But what's to say in a few years a distinction won't be made between say recreational and professional gamblers?

With professional gamblers - however such a thing is defined - liable to pay income tax. Suddenly a large advantage of gambling for a living disappears.

And don't think you'll just glide under the radar either. If you disappear from view in the tax man's eyes you will get a letter asking what you are doing.

Just check the relevant threads on the Betfair forums for proof! Just because your profitable method works now It doesn't mean it always will.

I always give the same example for this. Because it's a good one. It involves a guy who was in the 0. Relatively speaking he was a big winner.

Betfair valued his business so much he had his own personal account manager. Life was good - until he lost the lot. And then ran up enormous debts maxing out credit cards in an effort to chase his losses.

His mistake? Failing to adapt. His edge disappeared. He eventually realised. But couldn't replace it. So started betting blindly hoping for luck.

He went from big winner to big loser to Gamblers Anonymous. All within a year or so. Read The Story of Ster in his own words. I read that page often.

Because I know I've had edges in markets in the past that have been eroded. Fortunately I've so far managed to find replacements. But the time I don't is the time I'll stop winning anywhere near as consistently as I'm lucky enough to do so at present.

Now I've no idea when that will be. If ever. But one thing I do know is it would make me think twice before giving everything up to become a full time gambler.

I've seen my edges disappear in the past. I'd be negligent to think it won't happen again. One more thought in this area. Going full time for me would mean a large increase in stakes.

This wouldn't only have a psycological impact that would need addressing. But, of course, I'd want to actually check the methods I get away with using now would actually work with ten times the stake.

It's obvious. But easy to overlook. And I can see now that some strategies wouldn't. Loss of benefits Pretty straightforward this one.

If, like me, you're self employed, or a full timer on Betfair, you don't get benefits such as proper sick pay, holiday pay or maternity pay.

A serious illness could be financially devastating and again illustrates the importance of having a healthy sum of money behind you before you start.

As well as obviously making it a no brainer to have some kind of insurance in place for if you do fall ill. I don't mean to put people off. There's plenty of people out there who are full time making large sums of money from Betfair and they have my respect and good wishes.

Besides which we're all adults and are perfectly capable of making our own decisions anyway. But as the going full time on Betfair question is asked so frequently I hope it's of some use that I've outlined some of the considerations I have been through when mulling the question over.

I'm lucky in that I'm in an unusual position that would make it relatively easy for me to make the step but still I have resisted it.

Those who do take it will need to be prepared, organised and disciplined. They'll need to cope with changes in their lifestyle, be happy with being viewed somewhat as an outsider, and hope factors out of their control, such as legislation, don't interfere adversely.

Which all leads me to believe that yes it is possible to go full time on Betfair and make a good living.

Of course it is. A killing even. But I'm not sure it's something I'd want to do. And if I were to it is something I would approach with a relatively short time frame in mind.

Get in. Make my money, invest it wisely as I go along, and get out. Or at least be ready to get out quickly if circumstances change. I don't know.

Maybe I don't crave the title of "full timer" as many on Betfair seem to. Maybe I just don't have the bottle. Or feel I have too much to lose by trying it.

But it just always seems to me that if you're winning with a hobby you need a pretty good reason not to just increase your stakes overtime in relation to your bank and continue with multiple income streams.

And this is probably the route I'll take. That said, the very best of luck to any of you that decide to go for it This post, part of a series of classic posts, was first published before in , shortly before Betfair introduced the Premium Charge.

If you're thinking of going full time this is another consideration to take into account. This is actually the most read post on the entire blog with hundreds of people each month still finding their way to it through search engines.

This is one of the big ones. One of trading's 10 commandments as it were. And although it's going to be like teaching many readers to suck eggs it's an important trading tip so I thought I'd document it on the blog.

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